When Work Floods: How to Find Scarcity After AGI
Flavio Aliberti·9 min
2) Providers -- Another change we have been seeing is that Providers are increasingly becoming more structured to work with digital innovation. Funding is one data point. The covid crisis since 2020 has almost doubled the amount of funding in healthcare, but even excluding that we can see the organic trend:
3) Payors -- Major payors all have accelerators and venture arms at this point, the former to work with very early startups, the latter to invest especially in series B and beyond. What we have noticed at Tau is an increasing willingness of smaller payors to innovate, especially if they are integrated systems (provider + payor) i.e., inherently more aligned incentives. Which is how you get headlines like “Geisinger, UPMC among health systems fast-tracking tech, telehealth projects for COVID-19” and “Volatility Drives Payer Technological Innovation, Partnerships.”
4) Pharma -- We very much subscribe to the view that the model of 10 years and $1B developing a blockbuster drug, focused on rare diseases, is unsustainable. Indeed, a whole generation of companies are getting created to accelerate the drug development process, especially leveraging AI. At the same time we see a movement from Pharma to be in closer touch with Patients; the graph below provides a data point on their increased openness to work with startups.
5) Other Business Models -- Another favorite of startups for a long time is self-insured employers. Our view is there is a much smaller finite number of customers there so the channel is currently saturated. What we have been noticing increasingly and encourage also is companies with a foreign go-to-market i.e., test the product in another market. The US is essentially a magnitude bigger than other developed countries given its population and complexity. So it often makes sense to start off in certain places in Europe or Asia, where working with one or a handful of providers and payors means access to a disproportionate part of the market. Finally, we see enough density where partnering with other startups is now a feasible go to market
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