What Repo Market Injections Say About the Economy – Follow the Breadcrumbs
How did we get here? One big clue lies in the repo market. We’ve found that people tend to forget (ourselves included) important factors, events, or definitions that are important for understanding what is happening...
Speeding up Digitalization of Tech Banking: Cloud and AI as pandemic winners
The economic effects of the pandemic SARS-CoV-2 are pushing the struggle to the main industries of each country, conveying certain national economic crisis into a global one. If there´s no consumer of products and...
The rising tide that doesn’t lift all boats
Every day there is a major event that will move the markets. Trade wars, currency wars, oil wars, pandemics, depression levels of unemployment, conspiracy theories; you name it Are there any more surprises left? Perhaps. With complete...
Could Machine Learning and NLP Have Predicted Oil’s Crash? The Answer is YES.
A guide on how to combine Machine Learning and NLP to successfully predict the COVID-19 lead oil crash. On April 20th, 2020, futures for WTI (Crude oil’s U.S. benchmark) reached for the first time in history negative...
A Beginner’s Guide to Investing in a Downturn
Do you want to buy low and sell high? Let me tell you a secret. That’s exactly what hundreds of thousands of traders and fund managers around the world want to do, but no one gets...
Declining GDP, Skyrocketing National Debt, and a New Technology That Can Create a Robust...
The financial wreckage that the COVID-19 crisis leaves behind will be devastating and long lasting. Already economists are debating whether the cure – the near destruction of the global economy – is worse than...
How the NFL Encourages Fair Competition
The NFL shows how a closed market increases competition while a free market only works for a dominant minority The NFL draft may feel a little different this year due to Covid-19 but the rules...
The Sharpe Ratio Paradox: Why Still Invest In Venture Capital?
Sharpe ratio is a way of quantifying returns based on risk, specifically it is the average return earned in excess of the risk-free rate per unit of volatility or total risk.There are some limitations,...
Using Google Search Trends to Predict Initial Jobless Claims
For several years now, my focus has been on using alternative data of many kinds to predict macroeconomic statistics. When ran the Futures Group for the PDT Group at Morgan Stanley in the 1990’s...
Crisis? 3 Ways VCs Adapt
There is a global crisis going on as I write this article. It’s not the first, it won’t be the last. A lot has been written about how startups should manage themselves in a...
Climbing the Liquidity Ladder
Big things are happening with private market liquidity. Just as the tokenization fad crashed and burned, a much bigger wave of PE secondary transactions took off on a hockey stick growth path. The successful efforts...
Thoughts on the Long Term Winner
Today we are going to discuss how the long term survivability of a prospective crypto asset is the single best indicator of its investment quality. We will also consider capital’s role in this model...
Quandl 2020 Alternative Data Conference
Alternative data conferences connect actors in the buy-side ecosystem to explore novel use cases as the demand for alternative data is increasingly intense. Only the largest and most sophisticated players with distinctly unique roles...
Could Modern Monetary Theory Save America?
I Become President For A Day To Apply Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) To The US Economy Politicians and academics are making dramatic claims about MMT. I apply it to the 2018 US economy and learn...
The Best Way to Use Stock Market Correlations
When Alfred Winslow Jones pioneered the world's first "hedged" fund (the "d" was dropped later) he blew other investors away by borrowing funds to short 20% of the stocks trading at the time. He...
Artificial Intelligence as a Tool for Investing
Have you considered diversifying your investment portfolio? Of course you have. Have you considered diversifying the tools you use for investing? Maybe not. This is exactly what financial management firms are beginning to do. Industry-wide changes are happening...
The Blockchain Industry is in a Tight Spot, How to Break Out of the...
In Part 1, we discuss the reasons for the perplexity, industries that disappeared in history, and difficulties in investing in an emerging industry. BTC has risen steadily from $3k USD at the beginning of the...
The Next Great Recession Is Near and Here’s Why
There are many reasons to feel confident about our economic future in the US as of late. And why shouldn’t we feel this way? We have had a pretty bullish stock market run this...
3 Reasons The SpaceX Starship Is a Good Investment
Seven years ago, Elon Musk released the Starship as the world’s first heavy lift fully-reusable launcher capable of interplanetary flight. Then in April of 2019, the Starship began to take shape as the Starhopper...
Ponzi Financing, Negative Interest Rates and Bitcoin, Part 2
In Part 1, we analyzed the Ponzi financing model, and further study the paradigm shift of the three financing models. Today, we discuss the investment logic of hedging and Ponzi, as well as the...